Tennessee: WARNING Flood Watch currently returned by weather.gov. Monitor local NWS updates for timing and affected counties.
Active Alerts:
- WARNING: Flood Watch
American Red Cross · SECAR
Weather.gov checked at 5:47 AM EDT, July 13, 2026.
SECAR Situational Awareness
Updates automatically four times a day — 6 AM, noon, 6 PM, and 10 PM Eastern.
Update problem: This report is more than nine hours old. Treat the conditions below as stale and open the linked official sources for current information.
No tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic outlook period. 7 SECAR geographies have active NWS alerts; highest current level is Warning in TN.
HighestWarningTN
Active Areas7 / 9TN, MS, FL, NC, SC, PR, VI
NWS Alerts21TN, NC
TropicsQuietNHC official outlook
Risk Overview
| Product | Status | Conditions |
|---|---|---|
| NHC | Quiet | No tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic outlook period. |
| Global Tropics Hazards Outlook | Quiet | Tropical formation outlook cached. Open the source for probability shading and dates. |
| GFS | Quiet | 2 AM EDT Jul 13 model panel cached for reference. NHC and CPC are the official sources. |
| Euro | Quiet | 8 PM EDT Jul 12 model panel cached for reference. NHC and CPC are the official sources. |
| Excessive Rainfall | Advisory | Flooding or heavy-rain related NWS alerts are active in TN, MS, NC, SC. Use WPC ERO for the official day-by-day rainfall risk. |
| Active Fires & Potential | Watch | 30 wildfires 10+ acres in SECAR, 21 not fully contained (largest uncontained: QUARRY 2 (13), 19,018 acres, 97% contained, FL). NIFC 7-day fire potential outlook cached for reference. |
| Extreme Heat | Advisory | Heat-related NWS alerts are active in PR, VI. Check local NWS offices and HeatRisk for timing and severity. |
| SPC | Advisory | SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Marginal Risk (GA, SC); General Thunderstorms Risk (AL, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN). Open SPC for the categorical map and forecast discussion. |
| NWS San Juan | Advisory | PR/USVI active alerts include Heat Advisory. |
| PowerOutage.us | Quiet | Open live dashboard for current outage counts. |
SPC Convective Outlook — SECAR Lookahead
Day 1 · TodayAdvisoryMarginal Risk (GA, SC); General Thunderstorms Risk (AL, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN)
Day 2 · TomorrowAdvisoryGeneral Thunderstorms Risk (AL, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN)
Day 3AdvisoryGeneral Thunderstorms Risk (AL, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN)
Categorical severe-thunderstorm risk from the Storm Prediction Center, limited to SECAR states. The Day 1 map is shown; open SPC for the full national maps and discussion.
SECAR Alert Map
Mapped Alert Summary
| Area | Level | Active Alerts | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | Warning | 1 | Flood Watch |
| Mississippi | Advisory | 1 | Flood Advisory |
| Alabama | Quiet | 0 | None returned |
| Georgia | Quiet | 0 | None returned |
| Florida | Advisory | 2 | Rip Current Statement |
| North Carolina | Warning | 14 | Beach Hazards Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory, Flash Flood Warning, Flood Advisory, Flood Watch |
| South Carolina | Advisory | 1 | Coastal Flood Advisory |
| Puerto Rico | Advisory | 1 | Heat Advisory |
| U.S. Virgin Islands | Advisory | 1 | Heat Advisory |
Source Cards
Preview unavailable. Open the live source.
Tropical
NHC Atlantic Outlook
Status: No tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic outlook period.
Thumbnail: refreshed in latest build
Open source
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Tropical
CPC Global Tropics Hazards Outlook
Status: Fetched
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Open source
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Model
GFS North Atlantic Model Guidance
Status: Fetched
Source time: 2 AM EDT Jul 13
Latest model image resolved from page metadata.
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Open source
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Model
ECMWF North Atlantic Model Guidance
Status: Fetched
Source time: 8 PM EDT Jul 12
Latest model image resolved from page metadata.
Thumbnail: refreshed in latest build
Open source
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Rainfall
WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook
Status: Fetched
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Open source
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Fire
7-Day Significant Fire Potential
Status: Fetched
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Severe
SPC Convective Outlook
Status: Fetched
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Open source
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Infrastructure
PowerOutage.us
Status: Fetched
Open live dashboard for current outage counts.
Thumbnail: refreshed in latest build
Open source
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Local Alerts
NWS San Juan
Status: Fetched
Active PR/USVI alerts: Heat Advisory.
Thumbnail: refreshed in latest build
Open source
Watch Items
- Treat GFS and ECMWF panels as model context only; official outlooks govern the briefing language.
- Use the map as current alert context, not as a replacement for local NWS warning text.
5-Day Outlook For July 13, 2026
State-by-State Threats
Mississippi: ADVISORY Flood Advisory currently returned by weather.gov. Monitor local NWS updates for timing and affected counties.
Active Alerts:
- ADVISORY: Flood Advisory
Alabama: QUIET No active NWS alerts returned by weather.gov at generation time. Continue routine monitoring for fast-changing heat, storms, rainfall, and local impacts.
Georgia: QUIET No active NWS alerts returned by weather.gov at generation time. Continue routine monitoring for fast-changing heat, storms, rainfall, and local impacts.
Florida: ADVISORY Rip Current Statement currently returned by weather.gov. Monitor local NWS updates for timing and affected counties.
Active Alerts:
- ADVISORY: Rip Current Statement
- ADVISORY: Rip Current Statement
North Carolina: WARNING Beach Hazards Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory, Flash Flood Warning currently returned by weather.gov. Monitor local NWS updates for timing and affected counties.
Active Alerts:
- WARNING: Flood Advisory
- WARNING: Flood Advisory
- WARNING: Flash Flood Warning
South Carolina: ADVISORY Coastal Flood Advisory currently returned by weather.gov. Monitor local NWS updates for timing and affected counties.
Active Alerts:
- ADVISORY: Coastal Flood Advisory
Puerto Rico: ADVISORY Heat Advisory currently returned by weather.gov. Monitor local NWS updates for timing and affected counties.
Active Alerts:
- ADVISORY: Heat Advisory
U.S. Virgin Islands: ADVISORY Heat Advisory currently returned by weather.gov. Monitor local NWS updates for timing and affected counties.
Active Alerts:
- ADVISORY: Heat Advisory
Wildfires
Wildfires 10+ acres in SECAR states from the National Interagency Fire Center (WFIGS), largest first. On the map, marker size is acreage and color is containment (red = not fully contained, green = contained). Fire potential is in the Risk Overview.
FL
QUARRY 2 (13)
Miami-Dade County, FL
19,018 acres · 97% contained
FL
ATLANTIC (06)
Broward County, FL
5,780 acres · 100% contained
FL
Shell
Lake County, FL
2,822 acres · 95% contained
FL
WELL (13)
Miami-Dade County, FL
2,814 acres · 90% contained
FL
SOUTH CANAL- LAFAYETTE (34)
Lafayette County, FL
2,265 acres · 97% contained
FL
CARLTON EAST
Sarasota County, FL
960 acres · 100% contained
FL
Lox Mutual Aid 06/24
Broward County, FL
800 acres · Containment not listed
FL
Black Bird Ranch (14)
DeSoto County, FL
750 acres · 100% contained
NC
ROSE BAY CANAL
Hyde County, NC
667 acres · 83% contained
FL
HELLS BAY (48)
Orange County, FL
540 acres · 100% contained
NC
Rose Hill Bay
Duplin County, NC
529 acres · 50% contained
FL
EHREN CUTOFF (51)
Pasco County, FL
525 acres · 100% contained
SC
Can City
Colleton County, SC
412 acres · 100% contained
FL
Mailbox
Baker County, FL
408 acres · 10% contained
FL
CORRECTIONS (13)
Miami-Dade County, FL
363 acres · 100% contained
FL
POTTS (09)
Citrus County, FL
318 acres · 95% contained
NC
Quarry Road
Brunswick County, NC
283 acres · 50% contained
SC
Groton Road
Allendale County, SC
263 acres · 100% contained
FL
STILL HUNT (53)
Polk County, FL
250 acres · 100% contained
FL
SAND MINE (53)
Polk County, FL
185 acres · 50% contained
NC
Chicken Farm Lane
Onslow County, NC
164 acres · 85% contained
FL
Pond- Dixie (15)
Dixie County, FL
149 acres · 85% contained
FL
SR 47 (21)
Gilchrist County, FL
144 acres · 95% contained
FL
Water Hole
Marion County, FL
121 acres · Containment not listed
PR
Bike Trail
Lajas County, PR
100 acres · Containment not listed
PR
Meskite
Cabo Rojo County, PR
50 acres · Containment not listed
FL
Bradwell Bay
Wakulla County, FL
40 acres · Containment not listed
FL
Sandhill
Baker County, FL
25 acres · Containment not listed
GA
Sapp Prairie
Clinch County, GA
15 acres · Containment not listed
FL
Areca Palm St.
Brevard County, FL
14 acres · Containment not listed
State & Territory Emergency Management
Each SECAR state and territory emergency-management agency publishes its own situation reports (SitReps) and updates. These are direct links to the official agency pages for local detail this brief does not pull automatically.
TNTennessee Emergency Management AgencyMSMississippi Emergency Management AgencyALAlabama Emergency Management AgencyGAGeorgia Emergency Management & Homeland Security AgencyFLFlorida Division of Emergency ManagementNCNorth Carolina Emergency ManagementSCSouth Carolina Emergency Management DivisionPRPuerto Rico Emergency Management Bureau (NMEAD)VIV.I. Territorial Emergency Management Agency (VITEMA)